Partial solutions to 2004 Exam 2. (a) Y ~ Bin(7,0.25). mu = 7(0.25) = 1.75. sigma = sqrt(7(0.25)(0.75)) = 1.15 (b) Y ~ Bin(7,0.5) P(Y=0) + P(Y=1) + P(Y=2) = 0.0078 + 0.0547 + 0.1641 = 0.2266 (c) Y ~ Bin(7,0.25) P(Y=2) = 0.3115 (d) Law of total probability P(Y=2) = 0.36(0) + 0.48(0.3115) + 0.16(0.1641) = 0.1758 (e) Bayes' Theorem P(Aa | Y=2) = P(Aa & Y=2) / P(Y=2) = 0.48(0.3115) / 0.1758 = 0.8505