Course Information   Office Hours   Schedule   Chapter Summaries   Assignments   Exam Solutions   Final Exam Information   R   Grades   Election  
Professor Bret Larget
is teaching Statistics 309 during the Fall 2008 semester.

The teaching assistant is Jingjiang (Jack) Peng 
Person  Hours  Location  Phone  

Bret Larget:  Mon 1112pm Wed 2:003:30pm Thur 1:303:00pm  MSC 1250A  2627979  brlarget@wisc.edu

Jing Jiang (Jack) Peng:  Tue 11:30am  1:30pm  MSC 1275B  2621577  peng@stat.wisc.edu

Day  Date  Topic  Text  Extras 

M  Sept. 1  Labor Day  
W  Sept. 3  Introduction  Chapter 1  Notes Plots 
F  Sept. 5  Properties of Probability Models  Chapter 1  
M  Sept. 8  Combinatorial Probability  Chapter 1  
W  Sept. 10  Combinatorial Probability  Chapter 1  Assignment 1 due Extra Problems 
F  Sept. 12  Combinatorial Probability  Chapter 1  
M  Sept. 15  Conditional Probability and Independence  Chapter 1  
W  Sept. 17  Conditional Probability and Independence  Chapter 1  Assignment 2 due 
F  Sept. 19  Random Variables  Chapter 2  Note on the Longest Run of Heads 
M  Sept. 22  Distributions  Chapter 2  
W  Sept. 24  Discrete Distributions  Chapter 2  Assignment 3 due 
F  Sept. 26  Discrete Distributions  Chapter 2  
M  Sept. 29  Continuous Distributions  Chapter 2  Extra Problems Solutions 
W  Oct. 1  Continuous Distributions  Chapter 2  Assignment 4 due 
F  Oct. 3  Exams 1A and 1B (cover Chapter 1)  
M  Oct. 6  Cumulative Distribution Functions  Chapter 2  
W  Oct. 8  Onedimensional Change of Variable  Chapter 2  Assignment 5 due 
F  Oct. 10  Onedimensional Change of Variable Joint Distributions  Chapter 2  
M  Oct. 13  Joint Distributions  Chapter 2  
W  Oct. 15  Joint Distributions Conditioning and Independence  Chapter 2  Assignment 6 due 
F  Oct. 17  Conditioning and Independence Multidimensional Change of Variable  Chapter 2  
M  Oct. 20  Simulation  Chapter 2  
W  Oct. 22  Expectation of Discrete Random Variables  Chapter 3  Assignment 7 due 
F  Oct. 24  Exams 2A and 2B (cover Chapter 2)  Chapter 2 Summary  
M  Oct. 27  Expectation of Random Variables  Chapter 3  
W  Oct. 29  Expectation of Random Variables  Chapter 3  Assignment 8 due
Extra Problems Extra Problems Solutions 
F  Oct. 31  Variance, Covariance, and Correlation  Chapter 3  
M  Nov. 3  Election Special  Chapter 3  election.R
polls2008.txt states2008.txt totalInfo.txt Summary by State 
W  Nov. 5  Generating Functions  Chapter 3  Assignment 9 due 
F  Nov. 7  Conditional Expectation  Chapter 3  
M  Nov. 10  Inequalities  Chapter 3  
W  Nov. 12  Sampling Distributions  Chapter 4  Assignment 10 due 
F  Nov. 14  Exams 2C and 3A (cover Chapters 2 and 3)  Chapter 3 Summary  
M  Nov. 17  Convergence in Probability Convergence with Probability 1  Chapter 4  
W  Nov. 19  Convergence in Distribution  Chapter 4  Assignment 11 due 
F  Nov. 21  Monte Carlo  Chapter 4  
M  Nov. 24  Normal Distribution Theory  Chapter 4  
W  Nov. 26  Simple Random Walk  Chapter 11  Assignment 12 due 
F  Nov. 28  Thanksgiving Break  
M  Dec. 1  Markov Chains  Chapter 11  
W  Dec. 3  Markov Chains  Chapter 11  Assignment 13 due 
F  Dec. 5  Exam 3B and 4A (cover Chapters 3 and 4)  
M  Dec. 8  Markov Chains  Chapter 11  
W  Dec. 10  Problems  Chapter 11  Assignment 14 due Extra Problems (corrected) 
F  Dec. 12  Exams 4B and 11A (cover Chapters 4 and 11)  
S  Dec. 20  Final Exam Period  Replacement Exams 
Summary 

Chapter 2 Summary 
Chapter 3 Summary 
Chapter 4 Summary 
Assignment  Date Given  Date Due  Extras  Solutions 

Assignment #1  September 3  September 10  Problem 9 (Exercise 1.3.6) is postponed until Assignment #2.  Solution #1 
Assignment #2
Assignment #2 (revised)  September 9  September 17  Problems 810 are postponed until Assignment #3.  Solution #2 
Assignment #3  September 17  September 24  Solution #3  
Assignment #4  September 25  October 1  Solution #4  
Assignment #5 (corrected)  October 2  October 8  Solution #5  
Assignment #6  October 8  October 15  Solution #6  
Assignment #7 (corrected)
Assignment #7 (revised)  October 16  October 23  Hint  Solution #7 
Assignment #8  October 23  October 29  R Installation
R Probability Distributions  Solution #8 
Assignment #9 Assignment #9 (revised and corrected)  October 30  November 5  Solution #9  
Assignment #10  November 6  November 12  Solution #10  
Assignment #11  November 14  November 19  Solution #11  
Assignment #12  November 20  November 26  Solution #12  
Assignment #13  November 25  December 3  Solution #13  
Assignment #14  December 3  December 10  Solution #14 
Exam  Date Given  Solutions 

Exam 1A  October 3  Solution 
Exam 1B  October 3  Solution 
Exam 2A  October 24  Solution 
Exam 2B  October 24  Solution 
Exam 2AMakeup  November 3  Solution 
Exam 2C  November 14  Solution 
Exam 3A  November 14  Solution 
Exam 3B  December 5  Solution 
Exam 4A  December 5  Solution 
Exam 4B  December 12  Solution 
Exam 11A  December 12  Solution 
Final Exams  December 20  Exams 
The final exam period is scheduled on Saturday, December 20.

The exam is 7:45  9:45 A.M. in Psychology 107. 
There are ten exams available. Scores on these exams can replace scores on exams during the semester from the same chapter. There is no penalty for scoring lower. 
File  Contents 

election.R  R code for summarizing poll information
and simulating the 2008 presidential election 
polls2008.txt  All SurveyUSA and Rasmussen polls since September 1, 2008 
states2008.txt  State information 
totalInfo.txt  Combined poll data by state 
Summary by State  Graphical summaries of polls
and posterior distribution of election probabilities by state 
Bret Larget, brlarget@wisc.edu